Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000097 0.000109 0.000121 0.000135 0.000151 0.000168 0.000188
2024-10-27 0.000081 0.000097 0.000114 0.000136 0.000161 0.000190 0.000226
2024-11-03 0.000068 0.000086 0.000106 0.000133 0.000167 0.000207 0.000260
2024-11-10 0.000060 0.000079 0.000103 0.000135 0.000178 0.000231 0.000305
2024-11-17 0.000052 0.000072 0.000098 0.000134 0.000184 0.000250 0.000343
2024-11-24 0.000047 0.000067 0.000095 0.000135 0.000192 0.000270 0.000387
2024-12-01 0.000042 0.000062 0.000090 0.000133 0.000196 0.000286 0.000425
2024-12-08 0.000037 0.000057 0.000086 0.000132 0.000201 0.000303 0.000466
2024-12-15 0.000034 0.000054 0.000084 0.000132 0.000207 0.000322 0.000510
2024-12-22 0.000031 0.000051 0.000081 0.000132 0.000214 0.000341 0.000557
2024-12-29 0.000029 0.000048 0.000079 0.000132 0.000220 0.000361 0.000606
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000045 0.000076 0.000130 0.000223 0.000376 0.000647
2025-01-12 0.000024 0.000043 0.000075 0.000131 0.000231 0.000399 0.000706
2025-01-19 0.000023 0.000041 0.000073 0.000132 0.000239 0.000423 0.000770
2025-01-26 0.000021 0.000039 0.000070 0.000130 0.000241 0.000439 0.000819
2025-02-02 0.000020 0.000038 0.000070 0.000133 0.000252 0.000469 0.000898
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000036 0.000068 0.000132 0.000256 0.000488 0.000957
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000034 0.000066 0.000132 0.000263 0.000513 0.001029
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000032 0.000064 0.000131 0.000266 0.000529 0.001086
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000031 0.000062 0.000130 0.000270 0.000548 0.001150
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000029 0.000061 0.000130 0.000275 0.000571 0.001223
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000028 0.000060 0.000130 0.000281 0.000595 0.001301
2025-03-23 0.000012 0.000027 0.000059 0.000130 0.000287 0.000620 0.001382